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TRENDSnIFF

August 4th, 2008 at 1:06 pm

Retail Sales Growth In Asia Pacific Powers Through H2 2008

China’s retail sales hit a 10-year-high growth rate of 23% year-on-year to RMB864.2 billion (US$126.7 billion) in June.

Nationwide sales was 5.1 trillion yuan (US$744.36 bil) during the first six months of 2008, up 21.4%, or 12.9% in real terms, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS). China’s GDP grew 10.1% in the second quarter of 2008 and inflation slowed to 7.1% in June.

Recent findings from MasterCard indicate that retail sales growth will continue to be strong in Asia Pacific’s 12 markets for the rest of the year, riding on the back of robust economic growth and relatively strong income and employment conditions supporting consumer spending.

China is expected to lead the region with a 18% growth YoY in retail sales to 5.566 trillion yuan (US$813.5 billion) in the second half of this year, while Hong Kong’s retail sales are anticipated to increase 12.7% from a year ago to HK$136.8 bil (US$17.5 bil).

In comparison, Taiwan’s retail sales growth is lagging the region and expected to rise only 2.9% YoY to NT$1.729 trillion (US$56.42 billion).

Sales growth YoY in Japan will be virtually flat in the next 6 months to reach an expected US$573.3 billion, as MasterCard forecasted only 1.4% real GDP growth for the mature market this year.

Retail Sales forecast for 2nd half of 2008

Year-on-Year

Growth

Australia

A$104.5 billion/ US$98.6 bil

4.50%

China

RMB 5566 billion/  US$813.7 billion

18.00%

Hong Kong

HK$136.8 bil/ US$17.5 bil

12.70%

Indonesia

Rp276.8 trillion/ US$30.4 bil

12.00%

Japan

61.8 trillion yen/

US$573.3 billion

1.00%

Korea

125.0 trillion won/

US$123.2 billion

5.30%

Malaysia

49.3 bil ringgit/ US$15.1 bil

9.30%

New Zealand

NZ$19.0 billion/ US$13.9 bil

2.50%

Philippines

592.3 bil peso/ US$13.4 bil

8.60%

Singapore

SG$17.4 billion/ US$12.7 bil

5.20%

Taiwan

NT$1729 bil/ US$56.4 bil

2.90%

Thailand

600.0 billion baht/

US$17.9 billion

3.90%

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